ADB, EBRD and other institutions issue new growth forecasts
Coverage of new growth forecasts varies by region, with outlets each highlighting the country or bloc most relevant to their audience.
What happened
According to TASS, citing ADB experts, the Asian Development Bank projected 5% economic growth for developing Asia in 2026, with India cited as the leading growth economy in the region.2
According to Taipei Times' headline, the ADB raised Taiwan's GDP growth forecast to 11% for this year, and according to The Express Tribune, the ADB kept Pakistan's growth projection at 3.7%.15
According to The Economic Times' headline, S&P, Fitch, and the ADB raised India's GDP growth projection, though El-Nino was flagged as a mounting risk.6
Other institutions issued their own regional forecasts: German research institutes raised their 2026 growth forecast for Germany to 1.3%, while the EBRD lowered its 2026 forecast for its regions to 2.5%, expecting 4% growth in 2027.34
Where accounts differ
Each account is attributed to who makes it. We do not judge between them.
Which growth figures and institutions receive attention across regions
TASS, citing ADB experts
The ADB projected 5% economic growth for developing Asia in 2026, with India cited as the leading growth economy in the region.2
Anadolu Agency, citing EBRD
The EBRD lowered its 2026 growth forecast for its regions to 2.5%, with 4% growth expected in 2027, a different institution and set of regions from the ADB.4
How it's framed
What each perspective puts first, based on headlines and summaries.
| Perspective | How it reads | What it puts first |
|---|---|---|
| Russian state mediaRussia & Eurasia | TASS frames the story around the ADB's regional outlook for developing Asia as a whole, highlighting India's leadership in growth.2 | developing Asia growth, India as regional leader |
| East Asian private pressEast Asia | Taipei Times' headline focuses narrowly on the ADB's upward revision for Taiwan specifically, to 11% this year.1 | Taiwan-specific forecast, upward revision to 11% |
| European public broadcasterEurope | Deutsche Welle reports on German research institutes raising their 2026 growth forecast for Germany to 1.3%.3 | German growth forecast, domestic research institutes |
| Turkish state mediaMiddle East & Turkey | Anadolu Agency reports on the EBRD's regional forecast, emphasizing a lowered 2026 figure of 2.5% with 4% growth expected in 2027.4 | EBRD regions, lowered 2026 forecast, 2027 recovery |
| South Asian private pressSouth Asia | Outlets from Pakistan and India each focus on their own country's growth figures and specific risk factors, with The Express Tribune noting fiscal contingencies and The Economic Times flagging El-Nino as a risk despite upgrades.56 | country-specific growth rate, fiscal or climate risk factors |
What the coverage leaves out
- None of the outlets reviewed provided a single consolidated ADB report covering all mentioned countries, making it unclear whether these are separate reports or one comprehensive release.
- None of the outlets reviewed explained the methodology or underlying assumptions behind the differing growth projections (ADB vs EBRD vs German institutes).
- None of the outlets reviewed detailed how the El-Nino risk mentioned for India might quantitatively affect the GDP projection.
Why it matters
Growth forecasts from institutions like the ADB and EBRD are watched as indicators of regional economic health and inform investment and policy decisions.24
What to watch
- Whether India's growth projection is revised further in light of El-Nino risks, as flagged by The Economic Times.
- Whether the EBRD's projected recovery to 4% growth in 2027 materializes as forecast.
Sources (6)
Every outlet we drew on, grouped by where it is based. Read the originals for the full reporting.
Europe
- 3Deutsche WelleDEPublic broadcaster
Leading institutes double German economic growth forecasts for 2026
Russia & Eurasia
- 2TASSRUState-controlled
Economic growth in developing Asia projected at 5% in 2026 — report
Middle East & Turkey
- 4Anadolu AgencyTRState-controlled
South Asia
- 5The Express TribunePKPrivate
- 6The Economic TimesINPrivate
East Asia
- 1Taipei TimesTWPrivate